At a glance
The limits to confidence in a model result arising from incomplete observations, assumptions and imperfect representations of reality.
Why it matters
A forecast should inform a decision without presenting an estimate as a certainty.
An operating example
Review a range of production outcomes rather than treating one forecast as a guaranteed harvest.
Illustrative application, not a live customer result or a guarantee of product availability.
What it does and does not tell you
A confidence score is meaningful only with its method, calibration and validation context.